Wednesday, May 21, 2014

Fires and Climate Change/ Wildfires and Exploding Targets/ More FIrefighting Tankers




Climate is the most important environmental factor affecting long-term variability and change of wildfire. R.C. Wilkinson, University of Florida

Missoulian: Wildfires growing increasingly dangerous and costly, expert says
NDFD Fire Danger Point Forecast Tool
Wildfire in the United States: Future Trends and Potential
“Wildfire is a major forest disturbance in the United States—one with remarkable environmental, social, and economic impacts. Future wildfire trends are mainly determined by variability and change in climate, which is projected to become warmer and drier this century in the continental United States. Researchers at the Forest Service's Center for Forest Disturbance Science projected trends in wildfire potential for the continental United States using dynamical regional climate change downscaling simulations provided by the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program.”
Climate change and wildfires
“Wildland fire regimes are primarily driven by climate/weather, fuels and people. All of these factors are dynamic and their variable interactions create a mosaic of fire regimes around the world. Climate change will have a substantial impact on future fire regimes in many global regions. Current research suggests a general increase in area burned and fire occurrence but there is a lot of global variability. Recent studies of future global fire weather under different climate change scenarios using several General Circulation Models are reviewed. A widespread increase in future fire weather severity was found over almost all the earth with increasing fire season length occurring in many regions, particularly at northern latitudes. In the boreal forest region, which represents about one-third of global forest cover, increased area burned over the last four decades has been linked to higher temperatures as a result of human-induced climate change.”

Missoulian: Exploding targets banned on national forests in Montana, Idaho, Dakotas
US Forest Service Implements Closure Order on Explosive Targets
“In the past two years, exploding targets have been identified as the cause of at least 16 wildfires in the western states, costing taxpayers more than $33 million in fire suppression costs. The closure order includes all 12 national forests and grasslands in the Northern Region, covering northern Idaho, Montana, North Dakota and remaining portions of South Dakota not already under a closure order by the Rocky Mountain region.”

“In the face of what is shaping up to be a catastrophic fire season in the Southwest, the U.S. Forest Service is adding four additional aircraft to its next-generation firefighting fleet, bringing the total amount of aircraft to 21 large airtankers (with opportunities to add additional aircraft, if needed) and more than 100 helicopters.  The new aircraft will enter service in the coming weeks and support over 10,000 firefighters for the 2014 wildfire season.”

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